Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasco W vs Fluminense W

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Raquel

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Vasco W
20%
Draws
35%
Fluminense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense W haven't matched Vasco W's recent run of results.
  • Vasco W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Vasco W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Vasco W Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco W Fluminense W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 3 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Copa Rio Women
Vasco W vs Fluminense W
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Carioca Women
Vasco W vs Fluminense W
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Fluminense W vs Vasco W
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Vasco W vs Fluminense W
1:2
Nov 8, 2024 Carioca Women
Fluminense W vs Vasco W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Fluminense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Raquel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco W 77 / 100
Fluminense W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco W Fluminense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Vasco W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Fluminense W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vasco W VS Fluminense W
2.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco W

(Home)
29 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 4
Vasco W
22 Aug
Vasco W
2 : 1
Taubate W
16 Aug
Taubate W
0 : 2
Vasco W
08 Aug
UD Alagoana W
0 : 4
Vasco W
01 Aug
Vasco W
2 : 2
Minas Brasilia W
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Fluminense W

(Away)
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1
America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1
Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0
Fluminense W
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