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Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Siltanen M.
24' Event
Lendambi B.
Assist: Hellisdal M.
28'
Hellisdal M.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Vasteras SK and Djurgarden finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasteras SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vasteras SK
15%
Draws
49%
Djurgarden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Djurgarden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 13%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK Djurgarden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.59 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
1:0
Aug 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK
6:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
3:3
Oct 28, 2024 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasteras SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Lendambi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Djurgarden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 31 / 100
Djurgarden 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK Djurgarden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Vasteras SK found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Vasteras SK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Djurgarden let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS Djurgarden
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasteras SK

(Home)
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
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Djurgarden

(Away)
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)