Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasteras SK vs Orgryte

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Axel T.
21'
Sub
Styffe C. In: Parker M.
Out: Styffe C.
57'
Sub
Paulson D. In: Tibbling J.
Out: Paulson D.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Vasteras SK and Orgryte finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasteras SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Vasteras SK
30%
Draws
29%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Vasteras SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vasteras SK's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 18%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK Orgryte
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Superettan
Orgryte vs Vasteras SK
0:2
Apr 8, 2025 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Superettan
Orgryte vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasteras SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Axel T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Orgryte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 41 / 100
Orgryte 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orgryte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Vasteras SK found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Vasteras SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS Orgryte
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasteras SK

(Home)
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Aug
Enkopings SK
1 : 2
Vasteras SK
14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0
Vasteras SK
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Orgryte

(Away)
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
22 Aug
Orgryte
1 : 1
Halmstad
16 Aug
Brommapojkarna
3 : 1
Orgryte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 20 14 3 3 48:27 45
2 Djurgarden 20 12 2 6 44:19 38
3 Hammarby 20 11 4 5 45:19 37
4 Hacken 20 8 8 4 33:29 32
5 AIK 19 9 5 5 28:27 32
6 Elfsborg 20 8 7 5 28:21 31
7 Malmo FF 20 9 3 8 33:30 30
8 Vasteras SK 20 8 5 7 28:34 29
9 GAIS 20 7 6 7 25:18 27
10 Brommapojkarna 20 7 6 7 29:32 27
11 IFK Goteborg 20 7 5 8 28:40 26
12 Mjallby 19 5 5 9 25:33 20
13 Kalmar 20 5 4 11 21:30 19
14 Degerfors 20 5 4 11 19:31 19
15 Orgryte 20 3 6 11 23:43 15
16 Halmstad 20 2 5 13 13:37 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)