Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasteras SK vs Orgryte

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Hitachi Energy Arena
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasteras SK host Orgryte in the Allsvenskan. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Orgryte have shipped 2.63 goals a game lately, while Vasteras SK have conceded 2 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Vasteras SK slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.38) point toward Vasteras SK. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vasteras SK
6%
Draws
4%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vasteras SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vasteras SK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 17%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasteras SK Orgryte
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 Superettan
Orgryte vs Vasteras SK
0:2
Apr 8, 2025 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Superettan
Orgryte vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasteras SK 84 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasteras SK Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orgryte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Vasteras SK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Vasteras SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Orgryte registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasteras SK VS Orgryte
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius12102033:1532
2Hammarby1372428:1423
3Hacken1255225:2220
4Djurgarden1161426:1519
5GAIS1354418:1219
6Malmo FF1261525:2019
7Elfsborg1346317:1418
8Vasteras SK1253422:2318
9AIK1253416:1818
10Mjallby1244419:1716
11Brommapojkarna1244417:1916
12Kalmar1241714:1713
13Degerfors1224612:1910
14IFK Goteborg1224614:2810
15Orgryte1223714:319
16Halmstad1213810:266