Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Perpepaj D.
55'
55'
de Cerchio A.
63'
63'
de Cerchio A.
AI Match Summary
Vastese in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vastese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vastese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Montegiorgio haven't matched Vastese's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Vastese taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vastese Clean Sheet 68%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vastese | Montegiorgio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Montegiorgio
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Vastese
3:0
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Vastese
0:0
Jan 19, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Montegiorgio
1:1
May 19, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Vastese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vastese Compare
Top Goalscorer de Cerchio A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Montegiorgio Compare
Top Goalscorer Perpepaj D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vastese 68 / 100
Montegiorgio 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vastese Montegiorgio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vastese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vastese scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Montegiorgio has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Difficult form: Montegiorgio registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vastese VS Montegiorgio
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vastese
(Home) 11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0 Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2 Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1 Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0 Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Vastese
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0 Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2 Termoli
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0 Nuova Florida
16 Apr
Vastese
0 : 0 Calcio Chieti
02 Apr
Vastese
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 4
Montegiorgio
(Away) 14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
02 Apr
Vastese
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
11 Mar
Porto D'Ascoli
0 : 0 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
