Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vastese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vastese have won more games recently than Porto D'Ascoli.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vastese Clean Sheet 68%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vastese | Porto D'Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Porto D'Ascoli
0:0
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Vastese
1:0
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Porto D'Ascoli
0:0
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Vastese
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vastese 41 / 100
Porto D'Ascoli 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vastese Porto D'Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vastese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vastese scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Porto D'Ascoli has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Vastese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vastese VS Porto D'Ascoli
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vastese
(Home) 11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0 Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2 Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1 Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0 Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Vastese
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0 Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2 Termoli
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0 Nuova Florida
16 Apr
Vastese
0 : 0 Calcio Chieti
02 Apr
Vastese
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 4
Porto D'Ascoli
(Away) 07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1 Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2 Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1 Porto D'Ascoli
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2 Porto D'Ascoli
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Porto D'Ascoli
19 Mar
Cynthialbalonga
1 : 0 Porto D'Ascoli
05 Mar
Sambenedettese
0 : 0 Porto D'Ascoli
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
