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Vastogirardi vs Fossombrone

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Vastogirardi and Fossombrone finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vastogirardi
40%
Draws
29%
Fossombrone
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fossombrone come out ahead of Vastogirardi on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 68%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastogirardi Fossombrone
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Fossombrone
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Vastogirardi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastogirardi 42 / 100
Fossombrone 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastogirardi Fossombrone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossombrone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 40 matches.

Difficult form: Fossombrone registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vastogirardi scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fossombrone
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastogirardi

(Home)
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2
Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2
Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1
Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 6

Fossombrone

(Away)
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1
Castelfidardo
19 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2
Ancona
02 Apr
San Marino Calcio
3 : 0
Fossombrone
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campobasso342010455:2970
2Aquila Calcio34208640:2268
3Avezzano34178950:3359
4Sambenedettese341513657:3658
5Roma City3414101056:3752
6Atletico Ascoli341214839:3350
7Vigor Senigallia3413101157:5049
8Calcio Chieti3412121035:3448
9Notaresco Calcio3411121137:3845
10Termoli3411101330:3643
11Fossombrone34817928:2841
12AS Sora3410111337:3741
13Real Monterotondo341251742:6041
14Tivoli Calcio341071738:5537
15United Riccione341071748:5137
16Fano346141435:4932
17Vastogirardi34781926:5129
18Matese34682020:5126
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)