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Vastogirardi vs Termoli Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ruggieri S.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Burzio P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vastogirardi
15%
Draws
49%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vastogirardi haven't matched Termoli's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 68%
Termoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastogirardi Termoli
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Termoli
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Vastogirardi
0:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Vastogirardi
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Termoli
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastogirardi 42 / 100
Termoli 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastogirardi Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termoli let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Termoli's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Vastogirardi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Termoli
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastogirardi

(Home)
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2
Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2
Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1
Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 6

Termoli

(Away)
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)