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Vastogirardi vs Tivoli Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vastogirardi play Tivoli Calcio in the Serie D - Group F 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vastogirardi averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Tivoli Calcio averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Vastogirardi won 0, Tivoli Calcio won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 28, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Vastogirardi and 0.81 for Tivoli Calcio. This points to a Tivoli Calcio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vastogirardi
40%
Draws
29%
Tivoli Calcio
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tivoli Calcio has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vastogirardi.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 20%
Tivoli Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastogirardi Tivoli Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Tivoli Calcio
1:4
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Tivoli Calcio vs Vastogirardi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vastogirardi Compare

Top Goalscorer Caon G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tivoli Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Camilli M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vestenicky T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastogirardi 32 / 100
Tivoli Calcio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastogirardi Tivoli Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vastogirardi scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Tivoli Calcio let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Vastogirardi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tivoli Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vastogirardi VS Tivoli Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campobasso342010455:2970
2Aquila Calcio34208640:2268
3Avezzano34178950:3359
4Sambenedettese341513657:3658
5Roma City3414101056:3752
6Atletico Ascoli341214839:3350
7Vigor Senigallia3413101157:5049
8Calcio Chieti3412121035:3448
9Notaresco Calcio3411121137:3845
10Termoli3411101330:3643
11Fossombrone34817928:2841
12AS Sora3410111337:3741
13Real Monterotondo341251742:6041
14Tivoli Calcio341071738:5537
15United Riccione341071748:5137
16Fano346141435:4932
17Vastogirardi34781926:5129
18Matese34682020:5126