Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vatan Bremen vs Aumund-Vegesack

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 game between Vatan Bremen and Aumund-Vegesack finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aumund-Vegesack.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vatan Bremen
15%
Draws
59%
Aumund-Vegesack
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aumund-Vegesack

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vatan Bremen haven't matched Aumund-Vegesack's recent run of results.
  • Aumund-Vegesack are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Vatan Bremen Clean Sheet 20%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatan Bremen Aumund-Vegesack
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.84 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.84 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Vatan Bremen vs Aumund-Vegesack
2:4
Apr 14, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Vatan Bremen
3:1
Mar 16, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Vatan Bremen vs Aumund-Vegesack
5:3
Sep 29, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Vatan Bremen
3:3
Apr 20, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Vatan Bremen
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatan Bremen 20 / 100
Aumund-Vegesack 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatan Bremen Aumund-Vegesack

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aumund-Vegesack Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aumund-Vegesack's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vatan Bremen's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Vatan Bremen stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vatan Bremen VS Aumund-Vegesack
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatan Bremen

(Home)
27 Sept
Vatan Bremen
0 : 3
Union 60 Bremen
18 Sept
Oberneuland
0 : 3
Vatan Bremen
13 Sept
Vatan Bremen
0 : 2
Brinkumer
04 Sept
Leher
4 : 0
Vatan Bremen
30 Aug
Vatan Bremen
2 : 3
Grohn
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Aumund-Vegesack

(Away)
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
19 Sept
Woltmershausen
1 : 7
Aumund-Vegesack
12 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Union 60 Bremen
04 Sept
Oberneuland
2 : 3
Aumund-Vegesack
29 Aug
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Brinkumer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 30 24 3 3 95:35 75
2 Hemelingen 30 23 4 3 111:31 73
3 OSC Bremerhaven 30 20 4 6 86:40 64
4 Eiche Horn 30 20 2 8 69:37 62
5 Brinkumer 30 16 5 9 81:50 53
6 BTS Neustadt 30 16 2 12 86:73 50
7 Union 60 Bremen 30 15 3 12 72:65 48
8 Werder Bremen III 30 12 3 15 60:67 39
9 Oberneuland 30 10 6 14 65:58 36
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 10 5 15 56:81 35
11 Leher 30 10 4 16 52:62 34
12 Aumund-Vegesack 30 11 1 18 55:79 34
13 Vatan Bremen 30 9 2 19 49:91 29
14 Woltmershausen 30 6 5 19 43:90 23
15 Habenhauser 30 7 1 22 42:97 22
16 ATSV Sebaldsbruck 30 4 4 22 44:110 16
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 (Play Offs)