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Vatnaliljur vs Ulfarnir Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bjarnason A. S.
68' Event
Sigurdsson V. P.
90' Event
Solbergsson A. T.

AI Match Summary

Vatnaliljur in this Icelandic Cup 2017 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vatnaliljur
15%
Draws
85%
Ulfarnir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulfarnir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulfarnir have won more games recently than Vatnaliljur.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ulfarnir taking it.
  • Ulfarnir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vatnaliljur, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vatnaliljur Clean Sheet 10%
Ulfarnir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vatnaliljur Ulfarnir
Matches Played 12 19
Wins 3 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 2.11
Goals Conceded 5.25 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Icelandic Cup
Ulfarnir vs Vatnaliljur
6:1
Apr 23, 2017 Icelandic Cup
Vatnaliljur vs Ulfarnir
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vatnaliljur Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjarnason A. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson V. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ulfarnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Solbergsson A. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vatnaliljur 10 / 100
Ulfarnir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vatnaliljur Ulfarnir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulfarnir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Vatnaliljur found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (12 games).

Ulfarnir has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Ulfarnir lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vatnaliljur VS Ulfarnir
1 Goals Scored 2.88
7 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vatnaliljur

(Home)
25 Apr
Vatnaliljur
2 : 3
IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Jun
Vatnaliljur
0 : 12
Afturelding
14 Apr
Ulfarnir
6 : 1
Vatnaliljur
12 Apr
Grotta
9 : 0
Vatnaliljur
29 Apr
Fylkir
7 : 0
Vatnaliljur
Page 1 of 3

Ulfarnir

(Away)
26 Mar
Grotta
2 : 1
Ulfarnir
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2
Hamar
17 Apr
Olafsvik
7 : 1
Ulfarnir
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2
Ulfarnir
28 Mar
Ulfarnir
3 : 0
Stokkseyri
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GG Grindavik 7
Snaefell 1
KV Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 2
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Stal-Ulfur 1
Njardvik 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Fjardabyggd 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reynir 7
Kordrengir 1
TBD -
Haukar -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 6
Alftanes 1
Vestri 0
Ymir 2
Aegir 3
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nokkvi 7
UMF Geisli 1
TBD -
Magni -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 0
SR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Huginn -
TBD -
Hottur 4
Sindri 5
Kari 6
Lettir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Augnablik 6
Kormakur/Hvot 6
Ellidi 3
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 4
Midas 1
TBD -
Keflavik -
Hamar 4
KFS 1
KB Breidholt 1
Arborg 5
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
Ulfarnir 1
TBD -
Fylkir -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Berserkir 3
Skallagrimur 1
Gnupverjar 1
KFR 2
KFG Gardabaer 4
Vaengirs 1
Afturelding 0
Grotta 1
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir 4
Drangley 0
TBD -
Volsungur -
Throttur -
TBD -
Kongarnir 1
Afrika Reykjavik 3
Stokkseyri 1
Kria 0
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
GG Grindavik 0
Throttur Vogar 3
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
IR Reykjavik 2
Njardvik 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Leiknir Faskruds 2
Fjardabyggd 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Reynir 0
Haukar 4
Thor Akureyri 2
Tindastoll 1
Alftanes 0
Aegir 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Nokkvi 1
Magni 5
KH Hlidarendi 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Huginn 1
Sindri 4
Kari 3
Augnablik 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Selfoss 8
Vidir 1
Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Arborg 1
Breidablik -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 0
Fylkir 7
Akranes -
TBD -
Kopavogur 0
Fram 1
Berserkir 3
KFR 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Grotta 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Volsungur 2
Throttur 11
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stokkseyri 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Olafsvik 0
Valur 1
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Leiknir Faskruds 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Haukar 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Aegir 1
Fjolnir 2
Magni 1
KH Hlidarendi 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Hafnarfjordur 6
Sindri 1
Kari 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 1
Arborg 0
Breidablik 0
Fylkir 1
Akranes 4
Fram 3
Berserkir 1
Grotta 4
Grindavik 7
Volsungur 1
Throttur 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 2
Valur 1
IR Reykjavik 1
KR Reykjavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Aegir 1
Fjolnir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 1
Vidir 0
Fylkir 5
Akranes 2
Grotta 1
Grindavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 3
KR Reykjavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
Akranes 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Final
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0