Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaxjo DFF W vs Pitea W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Spiris Arena, Växjö
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Matsubara S.
Assist: Johansson J.
51' Event
Hellekant A.
Assist: Sampson S.
61'
Sub
Endacott-Foster M. In: Ali A. I.
Out: Endacott-Foster M.

AI Match Summary

Pitea W in this Allsvenskan Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pitea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vaxjo DFF W
20%
Draws
20%
Pitea W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vaxjo DFF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pitea W lately — more wins on the board than Vaxjo DFF W.
  • Vaxjo DFF W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vaxjo DFF W Clean Sheet 16%
Pitea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaxjo DFF W Pitea W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Pitea W
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Pitea W
1:2
May 11, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Pitea W vs Vaxjo DFF W
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Allsvenskan Women
Vaxjo DFF W vs Pitea W
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Allsvenskan Women
Pitea W vs Vaxjo DFF W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaxjo DFF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Redenstrand S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pitea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsubara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hellekant A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaxjo DFF W 48 / 100
Pitea W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaxjo DFF W Pitea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaxjo DFF W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaxjo DFF W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Pitea W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Pitea W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaxjo DFF W VS Pitea W
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaxjo DFF W

(Home)
14 Aug
Vaxjo DFF W
2 : 3
Djurgarden W
07 Aug
Vaxjo DFF W
2 : 0
Rosengard W
31 Jul
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
25 Jul
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 4
Kristianstad W
24 Jun
Vaxjo DFF W
2 : 1
IF Brommapojkarna W
Page 1 of 6

Pitea W

(Away)
16 Aug
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Pitea W
09 Aug
Pitea W
1 : 4
Hacken W
31 Jul
Malmo FF W
0 : 0
Pitea W
25 Jun
Pitea W
1 : 1
Hammarby W
18 Jun
Eskilstuna United W
2 : 0
Pitea W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 14 13 0 1 42:11 39
2 Hammarby W 14 12 1 1 36:6 37
3 Malmo FF W 14 7 4 3 28:9 25
4 AIK W 14 7 3 4 21:20 24
5 Eskilstuna United W 14 7 2 5 11:16 23
6 Kristianstad W 14 6 3 5 26:24 21
7 Vittsjo W 14 6 3 5 15:15 21
8 Pitea W 14 4 3 7 13:23 15
9 IF Brommapojkarna W 14 5 0 9 17:30 15
10 Vaxjo DFF W 14 4 2 8 20:26 14
11 Djurgarden W 14 4 2 8 18:24 14
12 Norrkoping W 14 2 6 6 14:22 12
13 Rosengard W 14 2 4 8 16:21 10
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 14 1 3 10 12:42 6
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)