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Vaxjo Norra vs IFK Karlshamn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Nensen A.
75' Event
Jonsson L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between Vaxjo Norra and IFK Karlshamn finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Karlshamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vaxjo Norra
30%
Draws
23%
IFK Karlshamn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vaxjo Norra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vaxjo Norra come out ahead of IFK Karlshamn on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vaxjo Norra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 14%
IFK Karlshamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaxjo Norra IFK Karlshamn
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs IFK Karlshamn
0:2
May 22, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Vaxjo Norra
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Vaxjo Norra
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs IFK Karlshamn
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

IFK Karlshamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Nensen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonsson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaxjo Norra 84 / 100
IFK Karlshamn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaxjo Norra IFK Karlshamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaxjo Norra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Karlshamn let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Vaxjo Norra scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vaxjo Norra stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaxjo Norra VS IFK Karlshamn
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaxjo Norra

(Home)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
Page 1 of 6

IFK Karlshamn

(Away)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
13 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 2
Torns
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)