Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Johansson C.
60'
60'
Culum E.
82'
82'
Motaraghebjafarpour A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vaxjo Norra lately — more wins on the board than Varnamo.
- Model gives Vaxjo Norra a 31% chance of winning this.
- Vaxjo Norra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Varnamo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 12%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vaxjo Norra | Varnamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Vaxjo Norra vs Varnamo
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vaxjo Norra Compare
Top Goalscorer Culum E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Varnamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Johansson C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Motaraghebjafarpour A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vaxjo Norra 38 / 100
Varnamo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vaxjo Norra Varnamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vaxjo Norra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varnamo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Vaxjo Norra scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Vaxjo Norra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vaxjo Norra VS Varnamo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vaxjo Norra
(Home) 20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0 Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1 Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3 Vaxjo Norra
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0 Osterlen FF
25 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 2 Solvesborgs
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0 Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1 Lilla Torg
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0 Osterlen FF
25 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 2 Solvesborgs
19 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 3 Varnamo
Page 1 of 3
Varnamo
(Away) 19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2 Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3 Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1 Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1 Varnamo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2 Varnamo
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1 Varnamo
19 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 3 Varnamo
11 Aug
Helsingborg
1 : 2 Varnamo
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Football Primetime 1
Karlskrona 0
TBD -
Helsingborg -
Lidkoping 2
Skovde 3
TBD -
Halmstad -
AC Studenterna 0
Lindo FF 4
TBD -
Malmo FF -
IFK Skovde 1
Jonkoping 0
TBD -
Falkenberg -
Olympic 5
AFC Malmo 3
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
BK Astrio 0
Angelholm 3
TBD -
Kalmar -
Landvetter 0
Dalstorps 1
TBD -
Norrby -
Viken 1
Utsikten 2
TBD -
Hacken -
Hogaborgs 2
IFK Trelleborg 1
TBD -
Oster -
Frolunda 4
Onsala 2
TBD -
Elfsborg -
Hovshaga 0
Vaxjo Norra 5
TBD -
Varnamo -
Malmslatts AIK 1
Husqvarna 5
TBD -
GAIS -
Savedalen 2
Boljan 3
TBD -
Varberg -
Rappe GOIF 1
Hassleholms IF 2
TBD -
Landskrona -
Balkan 2
Eskilsminne 3
TBD -
Orgryte -
Vastkurd 2
Trollhattan 3
TBD -
Mjallby -
Viggbyholms 0
Sollentuna 5
TBD -
Orebro -
Vendelso 1
Haninge 4
TBD -
Djurgarden -
Forssa 2
IK Franke 3
TBD -
Ljungskile -
Hudiksvall 0
Friska Viljor 1
TBD -
Sirius -
Konyaspor 0
AFC Eskilstuna 2
TBD -
Oddevold -
Sturehov IK 1
FBK Karlstad 3
TBD -
Sundsvall -
IFK Stocksund 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
IFK Ostersund 1
Kubikenborgs 0
TBD -
Degerfors -
Ragsved 0
Enkopings SK 2
TBD -
Vasteras SK -
Assyriska FF 0
Vasalund 1
TBD -
Norrkoping -
FC Jarfalla 0
FC Arlanda 2
TBD -
Ostersund -
Ostra Ersboda 2
Pitea 3
TBD -
AIK -
Bollstanas 5
Gute 2
TBD -
Nordic United -
Falu BS 1
Gefle 0
TBD -
Brommapojkarna -
Unik FK 0
Karlbergs 1
TBD -
Brage -
Eker Orebro 0
Karlstad 3
TBD -
Sandviken -
Final
Football Primetime 3
Helsingborg 6
Skovde 1
Halmstad 2
Lindo FF 1
Malmo FF 5
IFK Skovde 3
Falkenberg 2
Olympic 0
IFK Goteborg 5
Angelholm 0
Kalmar 7
Dalstorps 0
Norrby 2
Utsikten 1
Hacken 2
Hogaborgs 0
Oster 4
Frolunda 0
Elfsborg 4
Vaxjo Norra 1
Varnamo 3
Husqvarna 0
GAIS 7
Boljan 0
Varberg 5
Hassleholms IF 0
Landskrona 1
Eskilsminne 1
Orgryte 3
Trollhattan -
Mjallby -
Sollentuna 1
Orebro 4
Haninge 1
Djurgarden 7
IK Franke 0
Ljungskile 1
Friska Viljor 0
Sirius 2
AFC Eskilstuna 4
Oddevold 5
FBK Karlstad 1
Sundsvall 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale 0
Hammarby 3
IFK Ostersund 1
Degerfors 5
Enkopings SK 1
Vasteras SK 2
Vasalund 1
Norrkoping 2
FC Arlanda 1
Ostersund 2
Pitea 0
AIK 3
Bollstanas 0
Nordic United 2
Falu BS 2
Brommapojkarna 1
Karlbergs 2
Brage 0
Karlstad 0
Sandviken 2
