Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Iwabuchi H.
Assist: Kamada H.
45' Event
Sagara R.
Assist: Kamada H.
52'
Okaniwa Y.

AI Match Summary

Vegalta Sendai in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vegalta Sendai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Vegalta Sendai
17%
Draws
70%
Tochigi City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tochigi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Vegalta Sendai have won more games recently than Tochigi City.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Tochigi City taking it.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 16%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vegalta Sendai Tochigi City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 15
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City
5:0
Feb 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs Vegalta Sendai
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwabuchi H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kobayashi K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tochigi City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 15 / 100
Tochigi City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vegalta Sendai Tochigi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vegalta Sendai scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Tochigi City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Vegalta Sendai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vegalta Sendai VS Tochigi City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vegalta Sendai

(Home)
15 Jul
Kashima Antlers
5 : 0
Vegalta Sendai
06 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Toyama
30 May
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 0
Kofu
23 May
Vegalta Sendai
0 : 3
Yokohama FC
16 May
Shonan Bellmare
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
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Tochigi City

(Away)
15 Jul
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0
Tochigi City
06 Jun
Tochigi City
3 : 1
Reilac Shiga
30 May
Tochigi City
4 : 3
Iwata
24 May
Blaublitz
1 : 0
Tochigi City
16 May
Tochigi City
3 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)