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Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vegalta Sendai host Tokushima in the J2 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Vegalta Sendai at 1.89 goals for, 1.18 against; Tokushima at 1.54 for, 1.32 against. Past meetings favor Tokushima slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.38, favoring Vegalta Sendai. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Vegalta Sendai
15%
Draws
32%
Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vegalta Sendai come out ahead of Tokushima on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Vegalta Sendai taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tokushima have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 17%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vegalta Sendai Tokushima
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 2 1
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.89 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Vegalta Sendai
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 J2 League
Tokushima vs Vegalta Sendai
2:0
Jun 12, 2024 Emperors Cup
Tokushima vs Vegalta Sendai
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 84 / 100
Tokushima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vegalta Sendai Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vegalta Sendai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegalta Sendai's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vegalta Sendai has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Tokushima registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tokushima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vegalta Sendai VS Tokushima
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vegalta Sendai

(Home)
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Iwata
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
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Tokushima

(Away)
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Tokushima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1
Tokushima
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
2 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
3 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
4 Omiya Ardija 9 4 5 0 17:8 17
5 Yokohama FC 9 5 2 2 18:11 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Fujieda MYFC 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
8 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
9 Tokushima 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
10 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
11 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
12 Oita Trinita 9 2 5 2 9:7 11
13 Tochigi City 9 3 1 5 15:15 10
14 Iwata 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
15 Vanraure 9 3 1 5 5:14 10
16 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
17 Sagan Tosu 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
18 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 9 2 2 5 12:18 8
19 Imabari 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
20 Kofu 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)