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Vegas vs Red Stars

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 6, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vegas host Red Stars in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Red Stars have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Vegas have conceded 1.4 and scored 0.93. Past meetings favor Vegas slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Red Stars. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vegas
25%
Draws
35%
Red Stars
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vegas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Red Stars at 1.2 per game, Vegas at 0.93.
  • Win probability leans Vegas's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vegas Clean Sheet 20%
Red Stars Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vegas Red Stars
Matches Played 15 10
Wins 3 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Vegas vs Red Stars
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegas 42 / 100
Red Stars 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vegas Red Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegas's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Vegas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vegas VS Red Stars
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vegas

(Home)
02 Jun
Etoile du Congo
3 : 0
Vegas
25 May
Nathalys
3 : 2
Vegas
17 May
Diables Noirs
1 : 2
Vegas
10 May
Vegas
1 : 2
Inter Club
05 May
Vegas
0 : 0
V.Club Mokanda
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Red Stars

(Away)

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otoho d'Oyo 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Leopard 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 JS Talangai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 CARA Brazzaville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Kondzo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Inter Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Cheminots 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 V.Club Mokanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 RCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 AS BNG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Juk 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Vegas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 KFA 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Red Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation)