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Velarde vs CA Deva

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 game between Velarde and CA Deva finished 1-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Deva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Velarde
39%
Draws
31%
CA Deva
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Velarde haven't matched CA Deva's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Velarde Clean Sheet 17%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde CA Deva
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CA Deva
1:8
Dec 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Velarde
3:0
Apr 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Velarde
0:2
Nov 17, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CA Deva
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 30 / 100
CA Deva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde CA Deva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Deva let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

CA Deva's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Velarde scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
01 May
Velarde
0 : 2
CD Siete Villas
27 Apr
Atletico Mineros
4 : 3
Velarde
21 Apr
Velarde
0 : 3
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 7

CA Deva

(Away)
09 May
Bezana
3 : 0
CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5
SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1
CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1
CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1
SD Reocin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega383251103:15101
2SD Noja382511285:1986
3CD Tropezon382410456:1682
4UM Escobedo382112574:3375
5SD Reocin382071176:3867
6Bezana381812856:3466
7CD Siete Villas3814121251:5554
8Castro381581546:4153
9CD Laredo3813101542:5149
10Atletico Albericia3813101536:4849
11Barreda Balompie381471742:5949
12CA Deva381391655:4848
13Ribamontan al Mar381371851:5646
14Cayon CD3810101847:7240
15Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)381162138:6539
16Solares389121736:5339
17Vimenor389111838:5638
18Santona38992041:6636
19Guarnizo385112220:5726
20Velarde38133415:1266
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)