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Velarde vs CA Deva

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 game between Velarde and CA Deva finished 1-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Deva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Velarde
20%
Draws
0%
CA Deva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Velarde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Velarde haven't matched CA Deva's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Velarde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Velarde Clean Sheet 19%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde CA Deva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CA Deva
1:8
Dec 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Velarde
3:0
Apr 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Velarde
0:2
Nov 17, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CA Deva
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 85 / 100
CA Deva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde CA Deva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velarde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Deva let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

CA Deva's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Velarde has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
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CA Deva

(Away)
09 May
Bezana
3 : 0
CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5
SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1
CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1
CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1
SD Reocin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 32 5 1 103:15 101
2 SD Noja 38 25 11 2 85:19 86
3 CD Tropezon 38 24 10 4 56:16 82
4 UM Escobedo 38 21 12 5 74:33 75
5 SD Reocin 38 20 7 11 76:38 67
6 Bezana 38 18 12 8 56:34 66
7 CD Siete Villas 38 14 12 12 51:55 54
8 Castro 38 15 8 15 46:41 53
9 CD Laredo 38 13 10 15 42:51 49
10 Atletico Albericia 38 13 10 15 36:48 49
11 Barreda Balompie 38 14 7 17 42:59 49
12 CA Deva 38 13 9 16 55:48 48
13 Ribamontan al Mar 38 13 7 18 51:56 46
14 Cayon CD 38 10 10 18 47:72 40
15 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 11 6 21 38:65 39
16 Solares 38 9 12 17 36:53 39
17 Vimenor 38 9 11 18 38:56 38
18 Santona 38 9 9 20 41:66 36
19 Guarnizo 38 5 11 22 20:57 26
20 Velarde 38 1 3 34 15:126 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)