Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Velarde in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velarde.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Castro have won more games recently than Velarde.
- Win probability leans Castro's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velarde | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Velarde Compare
Castro Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castro let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Velarde remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Velarde scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Velarde
(Home)Castro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:30 | 68 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 49:22 | 61 |
| 3 | Torina | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 43:32 | 57 |
| 6 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 49:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Bezana | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 49:42 | 56 |
| 8 | Castro | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 41:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Guarnizo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 37:31 | 48 |
| 10 | CD Revilla | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:52 | 44 |
| 11 | Naval Reinosa | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 39:37 | 43 |
| 12 | CD Colindres | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 13 | CD Siete Villas | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 50:48 | 42 |
| 14 | UD Samano | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 15 | Atletico Mineros | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 35:63 | 33 |
| 16 | Solares | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33:54 | 33 |
| 17 | UC Cartes | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 32:50 | 31 |
| 18 | Velarde | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 29:61 | 20 |
