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Velarde vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Velarde in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velarde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Velarde
20%
Draws
51%
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) lately — more wins on the board than Velarde.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Velarde Clean Sheet 18%
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
0:1
Oct 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) vs Velarde
1:1
Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3:1
Oct 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) vs Velarde
1:1
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) vs Velarde
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 32 / 100
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Velarde scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Velarde remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
03 Oct
Velarde
0 : 1
Cayon CD
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1
Velarde
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
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Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)

(Away)
12 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
2 : 4
CD Tropezon
05 May
Solares
2 : 0
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
28 Apr
Deportiva Santillana
2 : 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
21 Apr
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
2 : 2
CD Siete Villas
14 Apr
Bezana
2 : 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 28 6 4 78:23 90
2 CD Tropezon 38 25 6 7 68:27 81
3 CD Laredo 38 21 9 8 59:29 72
4 Cayon CD 38 18 16 4 49:18 70
5 Rayo Cantabria 38 17 12 9 47:34 63
6 Guarnizo 38 18 9 11 50:41 63
7 CD Siete Villas 38 17 12 9 50:38 63
8 Barreda Balompie 38 15 8 15 57:52 53
9 UM Escobedo 38 13 12 13 56:42 51
10 Velarde 38 13 12 13 53:45 51
11 Textil Escudo 38 14 5 19 51:52 47
12 Castro 38 12 10 16 48:50 46
13 Bezana 38 11 12 15 43:68 45
14 Atletico Albericia 38 13 5 20 41:54 44
15 Vimenor 38 10 14 14 59:61 44
16 Selaya 38 11 11 16 33:59 44
17 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 9 13 16 44:54 40
18 CD Revilla 38 8 12 18 38:70 36
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 6 7 25 31:76 25
20 CD Colindres 38 2 7 29 23:85 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)