Sport Picks
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Hebar
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
Hebar in this Third League - South-West 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hebar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hebar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Hebar have won more games recently than Velbazhd Kyustendil.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Hebar taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Velbazhd Kyustendil Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velbazhd Kyustendil | Hebar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 22 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2019 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Hebar
0:3
Sep 22, 2018 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
4:0
Apr 5, 2017 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
7:1
Sep 18, 2016 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Hebar
3:1
Mar 7, 2012 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Hebar
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velbazhd Kyustendil 10 / 100
Hebar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velbazhd Kyustendil Hebar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hebar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Hebar's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Velbazhd Kyustendil scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Hebar
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Velbazhd Kyustendil
(Home) 29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1 Velbazhd Kyustendil
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0 Velbazhd Kyustendil
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0 Velbazhd Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
28 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 3 Kyustendil
21 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 1 Rilski Sportist
17 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 2 Granit Vladaya
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Hebar
(Away) 18 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2 : 3 Hebar
11 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 3 Hebar
02 Aug
Hebar
2 : 3 Vihren
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1 Hebar
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1 Hebar
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2 : 3 Hebar
11 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 3 Hebar
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1 Hebar
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1 Hebar
23 May
Svoge
1 : 0 Hebar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebar | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 73:19 | 90 |
| 2 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 60:27 | 75 |
| 3 | Vihren | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Bansko | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 60:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Minyor Pernik | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 57:37 | 56 |
| 7 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:35 | 49 |
| 8 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:42 | 46 |
| 9 | Belasitsa Petrich | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Chavdar Etropole | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Marek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 14 | Nadezhda Dobroslavci | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:61 | 38 |
| 15 | Svoge | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 45:61 | 37 |
| 16 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 10 | 2 | 22 | 35:75 | 32 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 36:70 | 30 |
| 18 | Velbazhd Kyustendil | 34 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 22:89 | 11 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)
