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Velbazhd vs Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2020/2021
Velbazhd Logo

Velbazhd

0 - 3
FT
Kyustendil Logo

Kyustendil

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2020/2021 game between Velbazhd and Kyustendil finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyustendil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Velbazhd
15%
Draws
85%
Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyustendil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kyustendil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kyustendil's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Velbazhd Clean Sheet 20%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velbazhd Kyustendil
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2021 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd vs Kyustendil
0:3
Oct 24, 2020 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Velbazhd
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velbazhd 10 / 100
Kyustendil 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velbazhd Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyustendil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyustendil has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Kyustendil has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Velbazhd scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kyustendil
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Velbazhd

(Home)
29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1
Velbazhd
22 May
Velbazhd
1 : 2
Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0
Velbazhd
12 May
Velbazhd
0 : 5
Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0
Velbazhd
Page 1 of 6

Kyustendil

(Away)
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1
Kyustendil
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kyustendil
23 May
Kyustendil
0 : 0
Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marek 34 25 7 2 84:24 82
2 Kyustendil 34 26 4 4 63:14 79
3 Belasitsa Petrich 34 23 9 2 68:27 78
4 Vihren 34 23 6 5 63:25 75
5 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 18 6 10 55:41 60
6 Balkan Botevgrad 34 16 10 8 62:34 58
7 Chavdar Etropole 34 15 6 13 62:46 51
8 Botev Ihtiman 34 13 7 14 53:41 46
9 Gotse Delchev 34 13 6 15 37:32 45
10 Pirin Razlog 34 11 8 15 40:59 41
11 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 10 6 18 40:56 36
12 Slivnishki Geroy 34 9 9 16 38:44 36
13 Rilski Sportist 34 9 7 18 30:45 34
14 Bansko 34 10 4 20 28:47 34
15 Levski Chepintsi 34 10 4 20 34:72 34
16 Granit Vladaya 34 9 5 20 34:65 32
17 Perun 34 6 4 24 25:77 22
18 Velbazhd 34 4 4 26 16:83 16
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