Sport Picks
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
Minyor Pernik in this Third League - South-West 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minyor Pernik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minyor Pernik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Velbazhd Kyustendil haven't matched Minyor Pernik's recent run of results.
- Model gives Minyor Pernik a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Minyor Pernik have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Velbazhd Kyustendil Clean Sheet 20%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velbazhd Kyustendil | Minyor Pernik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 22 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2019 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Minyor Pernik
0:1
Aug 25, 2018 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
3:0
Apr 1, 2017 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Minyor Pernik
0:1
Sep 11, 2016 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
2:0
Apr 17, 2016 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Minyor Pernik
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velbazhd Kyustendil 10 / 100
Minyor Pernik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velbazhd Kyustendil Minyor Pernik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Minyor Pernik conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Velbazhd Kyustendil scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Minyor Pernik registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Minyor Pernik
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Velbazhd Kyustendil
(Home) 29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1 Velbazhd Kyustendil
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0 Velbazhd Kyustendil
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0 Velbazhd Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
28 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 3 Kyustendil
21 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 1 Rilski Sportist
17 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 2 Granit Vladaya
Page 1 of 4
Minyor Pernik
(Away) 19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0 Kyustendil
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2 Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0 Minyor Pernik
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2 Bansko
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0 Minyor Pernik
08 Aug
Pirin Razlog
0 : 3 Minyor Pernik
15 May
Vihren
3 : 0 Minyor Pernik
02 May
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0 Minyor Pernik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebar | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 73:19 | 90 |
| 2 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 60:27 | 75 |
| 3 | Vihren | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Bansko | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 60:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Minyor Pernik | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 57:37 | 56 |
| 7 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:35 | 49 |
| 8 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:42 | 46 |
| 9 | Belasitsa Petrich | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Chavdar Etropole | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Marek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 14 | Nadezhda Dobroslavci | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:61 | 38 |
| 15 | Svoge | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 45:61 | 37 |
| 16 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 10 | 2 | 22 | 35:75 | 32 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 36:70 | 30 |
| 18 | Velbazhd Kyustendil | 34 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 22:89 | 11 |
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