Sport Picks
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2020/2021 game between Velbazhd Kyustendil and Pirin Razlog finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirin Razlog.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pirin Razlog
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pirin Razlog come out ahead of Velbazhd Kyustendil on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Pirin Razlog taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Pirin Razlog have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Velbazhd Kyustendil Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velbazhd Kyustendil | Pirin Razlog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 22 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2021 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
1:2
Nov 21, 2020 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
2:0
Mar 6, 2019 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
2:1
Aug 11, 2018 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
0:5
Mar 22, 2017 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velbazhd Kyustendil 10 / 100
Pirin Razlog 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velbazhd Kyustendil Pirin Razlog
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pirin Razlog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pirin Razlog's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Velbazhd Kyustendil's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Pirin Razlog's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pirin Razlog
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Velbazhd Kyustendil
(Home) 29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1 Velbazhd Kyustendil
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0 Velbazhd Kyustendil
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0 Velbazhd Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
28 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 3 Kyustendil
21 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 1 Rilski Sportist
17 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 2 Granit Vladaya
Page 1 of 4
Pirin Razlog
(Away) 26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0 Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0 Pirin Razlog
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1 Pirin Razlog
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2 Pirin Razlog
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marek | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 84:24 | 82 |
| 2 | Kyustendil | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 63:14 | 79 |
| 3 | Belasitsa Petrich | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 68:27 | 78 |
| 4 | Vihren | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 63:25 | 75 |
| 5 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:41 | 60 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62:34 | 58 |
| 7 | Chavdar Etropole | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 62:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 53:41 | 46 |
| 9 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 37:32 | 45 |
| 10 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:59 | 41 |
| 11 | Nadezhda Dobroslavci | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | 36 |
| 12 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 13 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | 34 |
| 14 | Bansko | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Levski Chepintsi | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 34:72 | 34 |
| 16 | Granit Vladaya | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 34:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Perun | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 25:77 | 22 |
| 18 | Velbazhd Kyustendil | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 16:83 | 16 |
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