Sport Picks
Veles Moscow vs Arsenal Tula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo 
Match Events
36'
36'
Korolkov K.
46'
46'
Sub
Davidyan D. In: Magomedov R.
Out: Davidyan D.
46'
46'
Sub
Enin I. In: Brnovic M.
Out: Enin I.
AI Match Summary
Veles Moscow in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Veles Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arsenal Tula
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Veles Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal Tula.
- Model gives Veles Moscow a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Veles Moscow | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Veles Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
0:0
May 6, 2023 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Veles Moscow
1:1
Oct 16, 2022 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
1:0
Oct 27, 2021 Russian Cup
Veles Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Veles Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Korolkov K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kuchugura D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Arsenal Tula Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Veles Moscow 42 / 100
Arsenal Tula 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Veles Moscow Arsenal Tula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal Tula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Veles Moscow scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Arsenal Tula registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Veles Moscow VS Arsenal Tula
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Veles Moscow
(Home) 04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0 Veles Moscow
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
24 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 0 Arsenal Tula
19 Aug
Veles Moscow
3 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 1 Leningradets
Page 1 of 3
Arsenal Tula
(Away) 04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0 Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
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