Sport Picks
Veles Moscow vs Chelyabinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo 
Match Events
5'
5'
Safronov I.
33'
33'
Sub
Samoilov D. In: Rusyaev I.
Out: Samoilov D.
43'
43'
Koloskov A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Veles Moscow and Chelyabinsk finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Veles Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelyabinsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Veles Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Chelyabinsk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 22%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Veles Moscow | Chelyabinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
2:1
Apr 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs Veles Moscow
3:1
Nov 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs Veles Moscow
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Chelyabinsk
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Veles Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Smirnov O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Chelyabinsk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Veles Moscow 21 / 100
Chelyabinsk 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Veles Moscow Chelyabinsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelyabinsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelyabinsk has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Veles Moscow scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Veles Moscow has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Veles Moscow VS Chelyabinsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Veles Moscow
(Home) 10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2 Veles Moscow
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0 Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
24 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 0 Arsenal Tula
19 Aug
Veles Moscow
3 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 1 Leningradets
Page 1 of 3
Chelyabinsk
(Away) 09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4 Chelyabinsk
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4 Chelyabinsk
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1 Chelyabinsk
23 Aug
Leningradets
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 24 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
