Sport Picks
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
Argentina
Reserve League 
Match Events
26'
26'
Nosei T.
29'
29'
Pereyra A.
32'
32'
Aguirre T.
AI Match Summary
Velez Sarsfield 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velez Sarsfield 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Velez Sarsfield 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Union de Santa Fe 2 haven't matched Velez Sarsfield 2's recent run of results.
- Velez Sarsfield 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Velez Sarsfield 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Union de Santa Fe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield 2 | Union de Santa Fe 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 13 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2026 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
4:0
Nov 17, 2024 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
1:2
Jul 20, 2023 Reserve League
Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2
0:1
Aug 5, 2022 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Velez Sarsfield 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nosei T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pereyra A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Union de Santa Fe 2 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velez Sarsfield 2 59 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velez Sarsfield 2 Union de Santa Fe 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velez Sarsfield 2 scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Union de Santa Fe 2 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Velez Sarsfield 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Velez Sarsfield 2 VS Union de Santa Fe 2
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Velez Sarsfield 2
(Home) 05 Jul
Velez Sarsfield 2
0 : 1 Racing Club 2
28 Jun
Velez Sarsfield 2
2 : 1 Newells Old Boys 2
17 Jun
Rosario Central 2
0 : 4 Velez Sarsfield 2
10 Jun
Velez Sarsfield 2
2 : 0 Tigre 2
04 Jun
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 1 Velez Sarsfield 2
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Velez Sarsfield 2
0 : 1 Racing Club 2
28 Jun
Velez Sarsfield 2
2 : 1 Newells Old Boys 2
10 Jun
Velez Sarsfield 2
2 : 0 Tigre 2
27 May
Velez Sarsfield 2
2 : 3 Instituto 2
21 May
Velez Sarsfield 2
1 : 0 River Plate 2
Page 1 of 4
Union de Santa Fe 2
(Away) 14 Jul
Union de Santa Fe 2
0 : 0 Gimnasia L.P. 2
17 Jun
Instituto 2
0 : 2 Union de Santa Fe 2
08 Jun
Union de Santa Fe 2
2 : 0 Atl. Tucuman 2
04 Jun
Godoy Cruz 2
0 : 1 Union de Santa Fe 2
28 May
Union de Santa Fe 2
0 : 2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Page 1 of 6
17 Jun
Instituto 2
0 : 2 Union de Santa Fe 2
04 Jun
Godoy Cruz 2
0 : 1 Union de Santa Fe 2
21 May
Barracas Central 2
1 : 1 Union de Santa Fe 2
07 May
Banfield 2
1 : 1 Union de Santa Fe 2
14 Apr
Tigre 2
0 : 0 Union de Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield 2 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 40:11 | 44 |
| 2 | River Plate 2 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 24:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Racing Club 2 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27:23 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Tucuman 2 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 30 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe 2 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Argentinos Jrs 2 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:18 | 28 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba 2 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 27:21 | 26 |
| 8 | Rosario Central 2 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Instituto 2 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo 2 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22:24 | 24 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P. 2 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 16:19 | 23 |
| 13 | Banfield 2 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 14 | Aldosivi 2 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | 18 |
| 15 | Barracas Central 2 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:24 | 17 |
| 16 | Sarmiento Junin 2 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16:26 | 16 |
| 17 | Tigre 2 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15:25 | 16 |
| 18 | Godoy Cruz 2 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20:30 | 15 |
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors 2 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 33:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Independiente 2 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 36:16 | 36 |
| 3 | Lanus 2 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 39:24 | 35 |
| 4 | Newells Old Boys 2 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:16 | 34 |
| 5 | Quilmes 2 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 6 | Defensa y Justicia 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 38:24 | 32 |
| 7 | Estudiantes L.P. 2 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 8 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27:29 | 27 |
| 9 | Huracan 2 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 26 |
| 10 | Platense 2 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:20 | 26 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra 2 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25:18 | 25 |
| 12 | Ind. Rivadavia 2 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 24 |
| 13 | Ferro 2 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:23 | 22 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe 2 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15:23 | 18 |
| 16 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 21:36 | 12 |
| 17 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9:32 | 11 |
| 18 | San Martin S.J. 2 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16:59 | 8 |
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)