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Velez Sarsfield vs Deportivo Armenio

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ramos L.
13' Event
Quiros A.
Assist: Pellegrini M.
31' Event
Andrada T.
Assist: Lanzini M.

AI Match Summary

Velez Sarsfield in this Copa Argentina matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velez Sarsfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Velez Sarsfield
30%
Draws
34%
Deportivo Armenio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velez Sarsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Armenio haven't matched Velez Sarsfield's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Velez Sarsfield a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Velez Sarsfield Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Armenio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Sarsfield Deportivo Armenio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.80 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Copa Argentina
Velez Sarsfield vs Deportivo Armenio
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Sarsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrada T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quiros A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Deportivo Armenio Compare

Top Goalscorer Davila M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Sarsfield 46 / 100
Deportivo Armenio 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Sarsfield Deportivo Armenio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Velez Sarsfield scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Deportivo Armenio has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Velez Sarsfield remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Velez Sarsfield VS Deportivo Armenio
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo5
Deportivo Rincon0
Deportivo Riestra1
Deportivo Maipu0
Newells Old Boys0
Acassuso2
Gimnasia L.P.4
Deportivo Camioneros1
Banfield3
Real Pilar0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0
San Martin T.1
Godoy Cruz0
Deportivo Moron1
Argentinos Jrs1
Midland2
Racing Club1
San Martin Formosa0
Defensa y Justicia2
Chaco For Ever1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)2
Gimnasia Jujuy3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Atl. Rafaela0
Velez Sarsfield4
Deportivo Armenio1
Gimnasia Mendoza0
Gimnasia y Tiro1
Sarmiento Junin1
Tristan Suarez0
Boca Juniors2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy0
River Plate1
Ciudad Bolivar0
Aldosivi3
San Miguel0
Ind. Rivadavia2
CA Estudiantes0
Tigre2
Claypole0
Talleres Cordoba2
Argentino de Merlo0
Atl. Tucuman2
Sportivo Barracas1
Union de Santa Fe2
Agropecuario0
Independiente4
Biblioteca Atenas2
Platense1
Argentino MM0
San Martin S.J.2
Deportivo Madryn0
Instituto2
Atletico Atlanta0
Lanus4
Sarmiento de La Banda1
Estudiantes L.P.4
Ituzaingo0
Rosario Central2
Sportivo Belgrano0
Barracas Central3
Temperley2
Huracan2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo-
Deportivo Riestra-
Acassuso0
Gimnasia L.P.3
Banfield2
San Martin T.1
Deportivo Moron1
Midland2
Racing Club-
Defensa y Justicia-
Gimnasia Jujuy2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Velez Sarsfield2
Gimnasia y Tiro0
Sarmiento Junin-
Boca Juniors-
River Plate-
Aldosivi-
Ind. Rivadavia1
Tigre0
Talleres Cordoba0
Atl. Tucuman3
Union de Santa Fe0
Independiente2
Platense1
San Martin S.J.0
Instituto2
Lanus1
Estudiantes L.P.3
Rosario Central0
Barracas Central1
Huracan0
1/8-finals
TBD-
Gimnasia L.P.-
Banfield-
Midland-
TBD-
CA Belgrano de Cordoba-
Velez Sarsfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Ind. Rivadavia-
Atl. Tucuman-
Independiente-
Platense-
Instituto-
Estudiantes L.P.-
Barracas Central-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-