Sport Picks
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
10'
10'
Garcia J.
13'
13'
Torres M.
(Penalty)
18'
18'
Lanzini M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gimnasia L.P. come out ahead of Velez Sarsfield on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Velez Sarsfield's way, sitting at 36%.
- Gimnasia L.P. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Velez Sarsfield, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Velez Sarsfield Clean Sheet 18%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Gimnasia L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.
0:1
Nov 10, 2025 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
2:0
Apr 29, 2025 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:0
May 13, 2024 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
3:1
Feb 10, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velez Sarsfield 36 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velez Sarsfield Gimnasia L.P.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velez Sarsfield's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Gimnasia L.P.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Velez Sarsfield went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Velez Sarsfield VS Gimnasia L.P.
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Velez Sarsfield
(Home) 21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
03 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Boca Juniors
29 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
06 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
03 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Boca Juniors
17 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
03 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Independiente
Page 1 of 4
Gimnasia L.P.
(Away) 03 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2 Banfield
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1 Tigre
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2 Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2 Gimnasia L.P.
18 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
2 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
15 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
4 : 0 Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Rosario Central 3
Independiente 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Racing Club 1
River Plate 3
San Lorenzo 2
Velez Sarsfield 0
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Talleres Cordoba 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Argentinos Jrs 2
Lanus 0
Boca Juniors 2
Huracan 3
Quarter-finals
Rosario Central 2
Racing Club 1
River Plate 2
Gimnasia L.P. 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Union de Santa Fe 0
Argentinos Jrs 1
Huracan 0
Semi-finals
Rosario Central 0
River Plate 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Final
River Plate 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
