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Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio José Amalfitani
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Garcia J.
13' Event
Torres M.
(Penalty)
18'
Lanzini M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia L.P. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia L.P..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Velez Sarsfield
40%
Draws
29%
Gimnasia L.P.
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia L.P. come out ahead of Velez Sarsfield on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Velez Sarsfield Clean Sheet 18%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Sarsfield Gimnasia L.P.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.
0:1
Nov 10, 2025 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
2:0
Apr 29, 2025 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:0
May 13, 2024 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
3:1
Feb 10, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Sarsfield 32 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Sarsfield Gimnasia L.P.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez Sarsfield's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gimnasia L.P. has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Velez Sarsfield stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velez Sarsfield VS Gimnasia L.P.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rosario Central3
Independiente1
Estudiantes L.P.0
Racing Club1
River Plate3
San Lorenzo2
Velez Sarsfield0
Gimnasia L.P.1
Talleres Cordoba0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba1
Ind. Rivadavia1
Union de Santa Fe2
Argentinos Jrs2
Lanus0
Boca Juniors2
Huracan3
Quarter-finals
Rosario Central2
Racing Club1
River Plate2
Gimnasia L.P.0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba2
Union de Santa Fe0
Argentinos Jrs1
Huracan0
Semi-finals
Rosario Central0
River Plate1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba2
Argentinos Jrs1
Final
River Plate2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3