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Velez vs Manchego Ciudad Real Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Makosso K.
82' Event
Rossi T.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Velez and Manchego Ciudad Real finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Velez
15%
Draws
85%
Manchego Ciudad Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Manchego Ciudad Real carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Manchego Ciudad Real's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Velez Clean Sheet 19%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Manchego Ciudad Real
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Velez vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Velez
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Compare

Top Goalscorer Makosso K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Manchego Ciudad Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez 10 / 100
Manchego Ciudad Real 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Manchego Ciudad Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Velez scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Manchego Ciudad Real conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Manchego Ciudad Real
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez

(Home)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 7

Manchego Ciudad Real

(Away)
04 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Almansa
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sevilla B 34 18 12 4 52:20 66
2 Yeclano 34 17 9 8 43:29 60
3 Marbella 34 16 8 10 41:32 56
4 Orihuela 34 15 9 10 39:37 54
5 Betis B 34 13 14 7 44:28 53
6 CD Estepona 34 13 10 11 34:27 49
7 Aguilas FC 34 11 15 8 27:20 48
8 UCAM Murcia 34 13 8 13 42:35 47
9 Linense 34 12 11 11 35:33 47
10 Antoniano 34 12 10 12 32:40 46
11 La Union (Malacitano) 34 14 4 16 36:36 43
12 Cadiz B 34 10 12 12 41:43 42
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 9 14 11 29:36 41
14 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 9 13 12 20:28 40
15 El Palo 34 8 12 14 26:36 36
16 San Roque de Lepe 34 9 9 16 34:39 36
17 Velez 34 7 11 16 31:61 29
18 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 4 11 19 25:51 23
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)