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Velez vs UD Carboneras Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between Velez and UD Carboneras finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Velez
15%
Draws
85%
UD Carboneras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Carboneras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • UD Carboneras haven't matched Velez's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Velez's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Velez Clean Sheet 20%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez UD Carboneras
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 0
Draws 10 0
Losses 16 30
Goals Scored 0.9 0
Goals Conceded 1.9 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Velez
0:3
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs UD Carboneras
2:0
May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs UD Carboneras
5:0
Dec 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Velez
2:1
Apr 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs UD Carboneras
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez 42 / 100
UD Carboneras 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez UD Carboneras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Carboneras conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

UD Carboneras's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Velez's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Velez VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez

(Home)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
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UD Carboneras

(Away)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)