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Velim vs Tuchomerice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Stredocesky KP
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Velim host Tuchomerice in the Stredocesky KP. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Velim at 2.61 goals for, 1.46 against; Tuchomerice at 1.61 for, 2.46 against. Past meetings favor Velim slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.44, favoring Velim. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Velim
15%
Draws
12%
Tuchomerice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Velim have won more games recently than Tuchomerice.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Velim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Velim have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Velim Clean Sheet 16%
Tuchomerice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velim Tuchomerice
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 8
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.61 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Tuchomerice
4:0
Oct 11, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Tuchomerice vs Velim
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Tuchomerice vs Velim
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Tuchomerice
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velim 84 / 100
Tuchomerice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velim Tuchomerice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velim scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Tuchomerice let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tuchomerice has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Velim VS Tuchomerice
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Velim

(Home)
03 Oct
Velim
0 : 5
Poricany
26 Sept
Tuchlovice
0 : 1
Velim
19 Sept
SK Doksy
2 : 4
Velim
12 Sept
Velim
0 : 2
Cesky Brod
04 Sept
Vestec
2 : 1
Velim
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Tuchomerice

(Away)
03 Oct
Cesky Brod
6 : 2
Tuchomerice
26 Sept
Tuchomerice
2 : 4
Vestec
19 Sept
Nespeky
7 : 0
Tuchomerice
12 Sept
Tuchomerice
3 : 3
Dobrovice
05 Sept
Kutna Hora
3 : 0
Tuchomerice
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