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Velka Bites vs FC Kurim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Velka Bites host FC Kurim in the 4. liga - Group D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Velka Bites have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against FC Kurim's 2.8 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Velka Bites have won 2 to FC Kurim's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back FC Kurim to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Velka Bites
20%
Draws
36%
FC Kurim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Velka Bites

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Kurim come out ahead of Velka Bites on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Kurim a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Velka Bites Clean Sheet 17%
FC Kurim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velka Bites FC Kurim
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.8
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Velka Bites vs FC Kurim
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 4. liga - Group D
FC Kurim vs Velka Bites
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Velka Bites vs FC Kurim
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 4. liga - Group D
FC Kurim vs Velka Bites
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velka Bites 10 / 100
FC Kurim 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velka Bites FC Kurim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Kurim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velka Bites found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Velka Bites stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: FC Kurim conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Velka Bites VS FC Kurim
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Velka Bites

(Home)
04 Oct
Velka Bites
6 : 3
Bedrichov
27 Sept
Znojmo
1 : 1
Velka Bites
20 Sept
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Velke Mezirici
12 Sept
Chotebor
0 : 0
Velka Bites
05 Sept
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Pelhrimov
Page 1 of 7

FC Kurim

(Away)
10 Oct
Bedrichov
0 : 13
FC Kurim
03 Oct
FC Kurim
3 : 0
Velke Mezirici
27 Sept
Pelhrimov
4 : 2
FC Kurim
19 Sept
FC Kurim
6 : 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou
12 Sept
Bohunice
3 : 0
FC Kurim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bohunice 10 6 2 2 22:9 20
2 Velka Bites 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
3 FC Kurim 9 5 1 3 25:13 16
4 Slovan Havlickuv Brod 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
5 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 14:13 16
6 FS Trebic 9 5 1 3 11:15 16
7 Znojmo 9 4 3 2 17:10 15
8 Pelhrimov 9 4 2 3 21:13 14
9 Tasovice 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
10 Bystrc 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
11 Humpolec 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
12 Chotebor 9 2 3 4 9:17 9
13 Velke Mezirici 9 2 3 4 10:20 9
14 Zdar nad Sazavou 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
15 Zdirec nad Doubravou 9 2 2 5 14:21 8
16 Bedrichov 9 0 2 7 9:30 2
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)