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Velky Saris vs Gerlachov

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - East 2025/2026 game between Velky Saris and Gerlachov finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velky Saris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Velky Saris
6%
Draws
90%
Gerlachov
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gerlachov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gerlachov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Gerlachov taking it.
  • Regular 4. liga - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Velky Saris Clean Sheet 10%
Gerlachov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velky Saris Gerlachov
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Gerlachov
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 4. liga - East
Gerlachov vs Velky Saris
4:0
Mar 23, 2025 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Gerlachov
2:0
Aug 4, 2024 4. liga - East
Gerlachov vs Velky Saris
5:1
May 5, 2024 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Gerlachov
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velky Saris 10 / 100
Gerlachov 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velky Saris Gerlachov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Velky Saris scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Gerlachov let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Gerlachov's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Velky Saris VS Gerlachov
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%