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Velky Saris vs Medzilaborce

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Velky Saris play Medzilaborce in the 4. liga - East. Medzilaborce are favorites here. Recently, Velky Saris averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. Medzilaborce averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, Velky Saris won 0, Medzilaborce won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Velky Saris and 2.00 for Medzilaborce. This points to a Medzilaborce double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Velky Saris
17%
Draws
57%
Medzilaborce
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Medzilaborce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Velky Saris picked up more points recently compared to Medzilaborce.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Velky Saris Clean Sheet 10%
Medzilaborce Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velky Saris Medzilaborce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.87 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Medzilaborce
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
5:2
Apr 10, 2025 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
4:3
Aug 17, 2024 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Medzilaborce
2:2
Apr 28, 2024 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velky Saris 25 / 100
Medzilaborce 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velky Saris Medzilaborce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medzilaborce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Medzilaborce & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Velky Saris attacking → ← attacking Medzilaborce

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velky Saris scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Medzilaborce let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Velky Saris went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Medzilaborce lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 31
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50