Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vellazerimi vs Pelister

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2023/2024
Vellazerimi Logo

Vellazerimi

0 - 4
FT
Pelister Logo

Pelister

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Josheski D.
45' Event
Ljamcevski B.
51' Event
Razmoski D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pelister in this Macedonian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Vellazerimi
15%
Draws
61%
Pelister
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Pelister have won more games recently than Vellazerimi.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Pelister taking it.
  • Pelister arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pelister, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pelister here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vellazerimi Clean Sheet 10%
Pelister Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellazerimi Pelister
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2023 Macedonian Cup
Vellazerimi vs Pelister
0:4
Mar 7, 2020 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs Pelister
0:2
Oct 6, 2019 2. MFL
Pelister vs Vellazerimi
3:1
Apr 6, 2019 2. MFL
Pelister vs Vellazerimi
1:0
Mar 9, 2019 2. MFL
Pelister vs Vellazerimi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vellazerimi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pelister Compare

Top Goalscorer Josheski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ljamcevski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellazerimi 10 / 100
Pelister 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellazerimi Pelister

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelister Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Vellazerimi scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Pelister let in goals in 54% of their last 37 matches.

Solid form: Vellazerimi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vellazerimi VS Pelister
0 Goals Scored 2.13
14 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellazerimi

(Home)
02 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 14
Makedonija GP
23 Feb
Golemo Konjari
0 : 3
Vellazerimi
15 Feb
Vellazerimi
2 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
20 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 4
Pelister
08 Sept
Besa 1976
4 : 0
Vellazerimi
Page 1 of 6

Pelister

(Away)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Teteks 0
Rabotnicki 3
Shkendija Tetovo -
TBD -
BVK Konjare 0
Shkupi 8
Ohrid 2
Detonit Plackovica 0
Vellazerimi 0
Pelister 4
Arsimi 1
Tikves 2
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
Brera Strumica 2
Belasica Strumica 0
KF Gostivar 1
Novaci 0
Bregalnica Stip 8
Jang Tim Struga 1
Pobeda 0
Karbinci 0
Voska Sport 10
Struga -
TBD -
Besa 1976 1
Vardar 2
Makedonija GP -
TBD -
Sileks -
TBD -
Bashkimi 2
FK Skopje 1
1/8-finals
Rabotnicki 3
Shkendija Tetovo 2
Shkupi 4
Ohrid 0
Pelister 0
Tikves 1
Brera Strumica 1
KF Gostivar 0
Bregalnica Stip 11
Jang Tim Struga 0
Voska Sport 1
Struga 0
Vardar 0
Makedonija GP 1
Sileks 3
Bashkimi 2
Quarter-finals
Rabotnicki 0
Shkupi 1
Tikves 2
Brera Strumica 1
Bregalnica Stip 0
Voska Sport 1
Makedonija GP 1
Sileks 0
Semi-finals
Shkupi 0
Tikves 1
Voska Sport 3
Makedonija GP 2
Final
Tikves 2
Voska Sport 1