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Vellazerimi vs Pelister

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Josheski D.
45' Event
Ljamcevski B.
51' Event
Razmoski D.

AI Match Summary

Pelister in this Macedonian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vellazerimi
28%
Draws
22%
Pelister
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vellazerimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pelister have won more games recently than Vellazerimi.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Vellazerimi taking it.
  • Pelister arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pelister, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pelister here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vellazerimi Clean Sheet 20%
Pelister Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellazerimi Pelister
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2023 Macedonian Cup
Vellazerimi vs Pelister
0:4
Mar 7, 2020 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs Pelister
0:2
Oct 6, 2019 2. MFL
Pelister vs Vellazerimi
3:1
Apr 6, 2019 2. MFL
Pelister vs Vellazerimi
1:0
Mar 9, 2019 2. MFL
Pelister vs Vellazerimi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vellazerimi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pelister Compare

Top Goalscorer Josheski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ljamcevski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellazerimi 49 / 100
Pelister 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellazerimi Pelister

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelister has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Vellazerimi scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Vellazerimi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pelister
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellazerimi

(Home)
23 Feb
Golemo Konjari
0 : 3
Vellazerimi
15 Feb
Vellazerimi
2 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
20 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 4
Pelister
08 Sept
Besa 1976
4 : 0
Vellazerimi
25 Mar
Vellazerimi
2 : 3
Besa 1976
Page 1 of 6

Pelister

(Away)
18 Jul
Pelister
0 : 8
Panionios
31 May
Pelister
1 : 2
Shkendija Haracine
24 May
Pelister
1 : 0
Bashkimi
16 May
Tikves
2 : 2
Pelister
09 May
Pelister
7 : 0
Shkupi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Teteks0
Rabotnicki3
Shkendija Tetovo-
TBD-
BVK Konjare0
Shkupi8
Ohrid2
Detonit Plackovica0
Vellazerimi0
Pelister4
Arsimi1
Tikves2
Kozuf Gevgelija0
Brera Strumica2
Belasica Strumica0
KF Gostivar1
Novaci0
Bregalnica Stip8
Jang Tim Struga1
Pobeda0
Karbinci0
Voska Sport10
Struga-
TBD-
Besa 19761
Vardar2
Makedonija GP-
TBD-
Sileks-
TBD-
Bashkimi2
FK Skopje1
1/8-finals
Rabotnicki3
Shkendija Tetovo2
Shkupi4
Ohrid0
Pelister0
Tikves1
Brera Strumica1
KF Gostivar0
Bregalnica Stip11
Jang Tim Struga0
Voska Sport1
Struga0
Vardar0
Makedonija GP1
Sileks3
Bashkimi2
Quarter-finals
Rabotnicki0
Shkupi1
Tikves2
Brera Strumica1
Bregalnica Stip0
Voska Sport1
Makedonija GP1
Sileks0
Semi-finals
Shkupi0
Tikves1
Voska Sport3
Makedonija GP2
Final
Tikves2
Voska Sport1