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Velvary vs Pardubice B

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Football pitch Velvary, Velvary
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zeman M.
(Penalty)
28'
Surzyn M.
35' Event
Sladovnik F.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 game between Velvary and Pardubice B finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velvary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Velvary
20%
Draws
38%
Pardubice B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Velvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pardubice B come out ahead of Velvary on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Pardubice B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Velvary Clean Sheet 10%
Pardubice B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velvary Pardubice B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.61 2.21
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Pardubice B
3:2
Aug 17, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Pardubice B vs Velvary
4:1
May 4, 2024 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Pardubice B
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 3. CFL - Group B
Pardubice B vs Velvary
1:3
May 6, 2023 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Pardubice B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velvary Compare

Top Goalscorer Sladovnik F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pardubice B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pandula D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velvary 10 / 100
Pardubice B 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velvary Pardubice B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pardubice B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Velvary found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Pardubice B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Velvary has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velvary VS Pardubice B
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Velvary

(Home)
20 Sept
Hostoun
5 : 1
Velvary
12 Sept
Velvary
2 : 1
Tempo Prague
06 Sept
Ostrov
3 : 1
Velvary
29 Aug
Velvary
2 : 1
Karlovy Vary
21 Aug
Hvezda Cheb
3 : 4
Velvary
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Pardubice B

(Away)
20 Sept
Pardubice B
2 : 3
Benatky n. Jiz.
16 Sept
Brozany
0 : 1
Pardubice B
11 Sept
Liberec B
2 : 2
Pardubice B
06 Sept
Teplice B
1 : 1
Pardubice B
30 Aug
Pardubice B
7 : 0
Caslav
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Ceska Lipa 32 29 1 2 86:24 88
2 Zapy 32 23 5 4 72:27 74
3 Banik Most-Sous 32 20 4 8 60:34 64
4 Hradec Kralove B 32 19 4 9 70:47 61
5 Teplice B 32 14 8 10 46:42 50
6 Benatky n. Jiz. 32 12 8 12 59:54 44
7 Pardubice B 32 12 7 13 69:57 43
8 Jablonec B 32 11 6 15 49:62 39
9 Mlada Boleslav B 32 10 8 14 39:50 38
10 Liberec B 32 10 7 15 72:64 37
11 Varnsdorf 32 10 7 15 46:65 37
12 Neratovice 32 9 9 14 44:66 36
13 Brozany 32 8 10 14 38:58 34
14 Velke Hamry 32 7 10 15 45:57 31
15 Usti nad Orlici 32 7 10 15 35:55 31
16 Velvary 32 7 4 21 46:82 25
17 Kolin 32 4 12 16 36:68 24
Promotion - 3. CFL - Play Offs (Main)