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Venda Nova FC vs Nova Lavras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Venda Nova FC Logo

Venda Nova FC

2 - 1
FT
Nova Lavras Logo

Nova Lavras

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
5' Event
68' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Venda Nova FC in this Mineiro 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venda Nova FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Venda Nova FC
15%
Draws
24%
Nova Lavras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venda Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venda Nova FC lately — more wins on the board than Nova Lavras.
  • Model gives Venda Nova FC a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Venda Nova FC Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Lavras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venda Nova FC Nova Lavras
Matches Played 4 3
Wins 3 1
Draws 1 0
Losses 0 2
Goals Scored 3.25 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Mineiro 3
Venda Nova FC vs Nova Lavras
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venda Nova FC 85 / 100
Nova Lavras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venda Nova FC Nova Lavras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venda Nova FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venda Nova FC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Nova Lavras has conceded goals in 67% of their last 3 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Venda Nova FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venda Nova FC VS Nova Lavras
2.6 Goals Scored 1
0.2 Goals Conceded 0.8
60% Over 1.5 60%
60% Over 2.5 60%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Venda Nova FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Venda Nova FC
3 : 0
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC
2 : 1
Nova Lavras

Nova Lavras

(Away)
05 Oct
Nacional de Muriae
2 : 1
Nova Lavras
26 Sept
Nova Lavras
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC
2 : 1
Nova Lavras

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venda Nova FC 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Nacional de Muriae 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
3 Novo Esporte 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Nova Lavras 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 Santarritense 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Betim FC 2 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
4 Araxa 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
5 Funorte EC 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
6 Siderurgica 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)