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Venda vs Lerumo Lions Prediction & H2H Stats

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026
Venda Logo

Venda

1 - 1
FT
Lerumo Lions Logo

Lerumo Lions

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 game between Venda and Lerumo Lions finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Venda
20%
Draws
70%
Lerumo Lions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lerumo Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Lerumo Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lerumo Lions a 70% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Venda Clean Sheet 20%
Lerumo Lions Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venda Lerumo Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Lerumo Lions
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Lerumo Lions
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Lerumo Lions vs Venda
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venda 10 / 100
Lerumo Lions 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venda Lerumo Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lerumo Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Venda scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Lerumo Lions let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Venda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venda VS Lerumo Lions
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venda

(Home)
18 Sept
Real Native
2 : 0
Venda
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Venda
0 : 2
Pretoria U.
29 Aug
Gomora United
1 : 0
Venda
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
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Lerumo Lions

(Away)
19 Sept
The Bees
1 : 0
Lerumo Lions
12 Sept
Lerumo Lions
0 : 1
Real Native
08 Sept
Orbit College
1 : 2
Lerumo Lions
29 Aug
Lerumo Lions
2 : 0
NWU FC
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kruger United 30 18 8 4 50:34 62
2 Cape Town City 30 15 9 6 45:23 54
3 Milford 30 16 6 8 40:24 54
4 Real Native 30 14 10 6 46:27 52
5 Hungry Lions 30 14 10 6 41:25 52
6 Highbury 30 12 6 12 30:33 42
7 Upington City 30 10 9 11 35:33 39
8 Lerumo Lions 30 10 9 11 36:36 39
9 Venda 30 9 9 12 24:29 36
10 The Bees 30 9 8 13 37:36 35
11 Pretoria U. 30 8 11 11 37:41 35
12 Leicesterford City 30 9 7 14 25:43 34
13 Gomora United 30 6 15 9 28:39 33
14 Midlands Wanderers 30 8 9 13 28:44 33
15 Black Leopards 30 6 10 14 26:38 28
16 Baroka 30 4 8 18 20:43 20
Promotion - Betway Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)