Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venezia vs Lecce

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venezia host Lecce in the Serie A. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Lecce have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Venezia have conceded 0.63 and scored 3.13. Head-to-head, Venezia have won 1 to Lecce's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.00 - 0.81) back Venezia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Venezia
6%
Draws
4%
Lecce
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Venezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venezia lately — more wins on the board than Lecce.
  • Win probability leans Venezia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Venezia Clean Sheet 68%
Lecce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Lecce
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 3.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie A
Lecce vs Venezia
1:1
Nov 25, 2024 Serie A
Venezia vs Lecce
0:1
May 20, 2021 Serie B
Lecce vs Venezia
1:1
May 17, 2021 Serie B
Venezia vs Lecce
1:0
Mar 16, 2021 Serie B
Venezia vs Lecce
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 95 / 100
Lecce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Lecce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Venezia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lecce has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Lecce
3.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
27 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 3
Venezia
23 Jul
Venezia
8 : 0
Vis Pesaro
19 Jul
Venezia
4 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
08 May
Venezia
2 : 0
Palermo
01 May
Spezia
2 : 2
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

Lecce

(Away)
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2
Istra 1961
22 Jul
Lecce
0 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
19 Jul
Haladas
0 : 1
Lecce
24 May
Lecce
1 : 0
Genoa
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)