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Stadium Background

Venezia vs Empoli

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Adorante A.
Assist: Franjic B.
56'
Lovato M.
77'
Sub
Shpendi S. In: Nasti M.
Out: Shpendi S.

AI Match Summary

Venezia in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Venezia
35%
Draws
24%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Venezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venezia lately — more wins on the board than Empoli.
  • Win probability leans Venezia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Venezia Clean Sheet 20%
Empoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Empoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.55 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Venezia vs Empoli
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
Empoli vs Venezia
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Serie A
Empoli vs Venezia
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Serie A
Venezia vs Empoli
1:1
Jan 16, 2022 Serie A
Venezia vs Empoli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adorante A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doumbia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Empoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 85 / 100
Empoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Empoli let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Venezia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Empoli
3.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
15 Aug
Venezia
3 : 2
Modena
08 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Venezia
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3
Venezia
27 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 3
Venezia
23 Jul
Venezia
8 : 0
Vis Pesaro
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Empoli

(Away)
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Empoli
08 Aug
Livorno
1 : 1
Empoli
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Monza
2 : 2
Empoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)