Sport Picks
Venlo vs De Graafschap
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Seacon - De Koel, Venlo 
Match Events
38'
38'
Kaninda N.
Assist: El Allachi C.
54'
54'
Sub
Niemeijer R. In: de Jong F.
Out: Niemeijer R.
59'
59'
Martens N.
Assist: Kaninda N.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Venlo and De Graafschap finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Venlo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- De Graafschap carry the better recent record into this one.
- Venlo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Venlo Clean Sheet 13%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Venlo | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs De Graafschap
3:3
Aug 8, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Venlo
3:2
Apr 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs De Graafschap
3:1
Dec 1, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Venlo
3:1
Jan 26, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Venlo
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Venlo Compare
Top Goalscorer de Blok L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zandbergen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaninda N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martens N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Venlo 84 / 100
De Graafschap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Venlo De Graafschap
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Venlo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Venlo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Venlo VS De Graafschap
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Venlo
(Home) 21 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
5 : 3 Venlo
18 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1 Leuven B
11 Jul
De Treffers
2 : 2 Venlo
07 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1 Bochum II
04 Jul
Venlo
3 : 2 B. Monchengladbach II
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1 Leuven B
07 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1 Bochum II
04 Jul
Venlo
3 : 2 B. Monchengladbach II
24 Apr
Venlo
3 : 1 Almere City
11 Apr
Venlo
3 : 3 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
De Graafschap
(Away) 17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6 Telstar
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2 AEK
03 Jul
Heerenveen
7 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2 De Graafschap
09 May
De Graafschap
2 : 2 Almere City
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Heerenveen
7 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2 De Graafschap
06 May
Almere City
3 : 1 De Graafschap
24 Apr
FC Emmen
1 : 0 De Graafschap
11 Apr
Venlo
3 : 3 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)