Sport Picks
Venlo vs De Graafschap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo 
Match Events
10'
10'
Kania J.
Assist: Mero T.
11'
11'
Ahmeti N.
28'
28'
Gorlich L.
AI Match Summary
Venlo in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venlo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venlo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- De Graafschap haven't matched Venlo's recent run of results.
- Venlo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Venlo Clean Sheet 16%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Venlo | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 2.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs De Graafschap
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs De Graafschap
3:3
Aug 8, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Venlo
3:2
Apr 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs De Graafschap
3:1
Dec 1, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Venlo
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Venlo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ait Mouhou N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vullers R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Kania J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Venlo 84 / 100
De Graafschap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Venlo De Graafschap
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Venlo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Venlo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Venlo VS De Graafschap
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Venlo
(Home) 09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3 Venlo
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0 Roda
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2 Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Venlo
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0 Roda
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0 FC Emmen
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4 Heracles
Page 1 of 4
De Graafschap
(Away) 09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0 Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
09 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
