Sport Picks
Venlo vs De Graafschap
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo 
AI Match Summary
Venlo host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Venlo at 1.57 goals for, 1.87 against; De Graafschap at 1.97 for, 2.03 against. Past meetings favor De Graafschap slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 2.13, favoring De Graafschap. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Venlo haven't matched De Graafschap's recent run of results.
- Venlo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Venlo | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Venlo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
De Graafschap's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Venlo
(Home)De Graafschap
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Almere City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Volendam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 7 | Venlo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 8 | Eindhoven FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Roda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Jong PSV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 11 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 13 | De Graafschap | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Den Bosch | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
