Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venlo vs FC Emmen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Van Hove B.
16' Event
Zandbergen D.
Assist: de Blok L.
43' Event
Zandbergen D.
Assist: Schalk A.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Venlo and FC Emmen finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Venlo
15%
Draws
37%
FC Emmen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Emmen haven't matched Venlo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Venlo a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo FC Emmen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs FC Emmen
4:0
Mar 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Venlo
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs FC Emmen
4:0
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Venlo
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs FC Emmen
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zandbergen D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zuliani E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

FC Emmen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 65 / 100
FC Emmen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo FC Emmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Venlo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Emmen let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Venlo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS FC Emmen
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
Venlo
Page 1 of 6

FC Emmen

(Away)
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Emmen
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3
FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)