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Ventspils vs FC Jurmala

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Virslīga 2014 Ventspils Olimpiskais stadions
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Match Events

2' Event
Mujeci N.
6' Event
Korban K.
56' Event
Recickis V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2014 game between Ventspils and FC Jurmala finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ventspils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ventspils
6%
Draws
4%
FC Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ventspils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ventspils carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ventspils a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ventspils have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 68%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventspils FC Jurmala
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 5 1
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:7
Jun 29, 2014 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FC Jurmala
6:1
May 14, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:6
May 11, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:0
Apr 16, 2014 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FC Jurmala
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Mujeci N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Svarups K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

FC Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Korban K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventspils 95 / 100
FC Jurmala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventspils FC Jurmala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Jurmala conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

FC Jurmala's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Ventspils stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ventspils VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ventspils36265575:2083
2Skonto362511077:3471
3Jelgava362010657:2770
4FK Liepaja362131272:4566
5FC Daugava Daugavpils36198953:3965
6Spartaks Jurmala361491338:3251
7FK Daugava Riga361341948:6443
8BFC Daugavpils36852330:6529
9FK Metta36372626:6916
10FC Jurmala36262829:1107