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Ventspils vs FK Daugava Riga

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Virslīga 2014 Ventspils Olimpiskais stadions, Ventspils
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AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2014 game between Ventspils and FK Daugava Riga finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ventspils
20%
Draws
0%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ventspils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Daugava Riga come out ahead of Ventspils on wins alone.
  • Ventspils are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 20%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventspils FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 20 26
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.05 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2015 League Cup
FK Daugava Riga vs Ventspils
0:0
Sep 24, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Ventspils
0:3
Sep 13, 2014 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Jul 5, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Ventspils
0:0
May 17, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Ventspils
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventspils 76 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventspils FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: FK Daugava Riga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ventspils scored in 60% of their last 20 outings.

FK Daugava Riga let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Ventspils stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ventspils VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ventspils

(Home)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 4

FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)