Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ventspils host Valmiera in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. Valmiera go into this one as the clear favorite. Ventspils have averaged 1.08 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Valmiera's 2.94 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Valmiera slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.55) back Valmiera to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Valmiera lately — more wins on the board than Ventspils.
- Model gives Valmiera a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ventspils | Valmiera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 23 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 2.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Valmiera conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Ventspils has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Ventspils scored in 42% of their last 12 outings.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ventspils
(Home)Valmiera
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
