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Ventura County vs Houston Dynamo 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

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MLS Next Pro Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA
Ventura County Logo

Ventura County

3 - 1
FT
Houston Dynamo 2 Logo

Houston Dynamo 2

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Betancourt N.
48' Event
Placias J.
Assist: Vanney D.
53' Event
Arnold G.
Assist: Vanney D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Ventura County and Houston Dynamo 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ventura County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Ventura County
15%
Draws
17%
Houston Dynamo 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventura County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Ventura County carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Ventura County taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ventura County have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 20%
Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventura County Houston Dynamo 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.06 2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Ventura County
0:2
Jun 7, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Houston Dynamo 2
3:1
Mar 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Houston Dynamo 2
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Ventura County
2:3
Jul 6, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Houston Dynamo 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ventura County Compare

Top Goalscorer Placias J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnold G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventura County 85 / 100
Houston Dynamo 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventura County Houston Dynamo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventura County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ventura County scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Houston Dynamo 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ventura County went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ventura County VS Houston Dynamo 2
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ventura County

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1
Ventura County
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 2
Ventura County
29 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 3
Ventura County
Page 1 of 7

Houston Dynamo 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)