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San Jose Earthquakes II

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ventura County host San Jose Earthquakes II in the MLS Next Pro. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Ventura County at 2.13 goals for, 1.88 against; San Jose Earthquakes II at 3 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor San Jose Earthquakes II slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.81 - 2.44) back San Jose Earthquakes II to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ventura County

40%

Draws

29%

San Jose Earthquakes II

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Ventura County haven't matched San Jose Earthquakes II's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
History favors San Jose Earthquakes II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Ventura County Clean Sheet 10%

San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ventura County	San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	2.13	3
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Sep 22, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

Aug 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Ventura County

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Jun 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Ventura County

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Jul 29, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventura County 30 / 100

San Jose Earthquakes II 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ventura County San Jose Earthquakes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ventura County's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Jose Earthquakes II conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ventura County went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ventura County VS San Jose Earthquakes II

2.13 Goals Scored 3

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	19	14	5	35:29	39
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	19	9	10	21:23	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
8	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Orlando City B	19	12	7	40:33	35
3	Chattanooga	19	12	7	35:30	34
4	Atlanta United 2	18	9	9	38:28	30
5	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
6	Huntsville City	18	8	10	31:35	25
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	19	12	7	25:23	37
2	Ventura County	19	11	8	34:27	32
3	Los Angeles FC 2	18	9	9	28:30	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	17	9	8	37:20	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	17	14	3	39:15	40
2	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	19	10	9	30:32	29
5	North Texas	17	8	9	27:21	25
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	19	3	16	17:37	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	19	14	5	35:29	39
2	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
3	Orlando City B	19	12	7	40:33	35
4	Chattanooga	19	12	7	35:30	34
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	18	9	9	38:28	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	19	9	10	21:23	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
13	Huntsville City	18	8	10	31:35	25
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	17	14	3	39:15	40
2	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
3	Portland Timbers 2	19	12	7	25:23	37
4	Ventura County	19	11	8	34:27	32
5	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
6	St. Louis City 2	19	10	9	30:32	29
7	Los Angeles FC 2	18	9	9	28:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	17	9	8	37:20	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	North Texas	17	8	9	27:21	25
11	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	19	3	16	17:37	12