Sport Picks
Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Next Pro Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA 
Match Events
19'
19'
Spivey K.
46'
46'
Preston E.
Assist: Muller L.
65'
65'
Sub
Allen T. In: Spivey J.
Out: Allen T.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between Ventura County and San Jose Earthquakes II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ventura County.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventura County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Jose Earthquakes II haven't matched Ventura County's recent run of results.
- Ventura County are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 20%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ventura County | San Jose Earthquakes II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Ventura County
1:3
Jul 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II
3:0
May 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:3
Sep 22, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II
0:4
Aug 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Ventura County
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ventura County Compare
Top Goalscorer Preston E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Muller L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
San Jose Earthquakes II Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ventura County 40 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ventura County San Jose Earthquakes II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ventura County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ventura County scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
San Jose Earthquakes II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Ventura County went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ventura County VS San Jose Earthquakes II
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ventura County
(Home) 20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Ventura County
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3 Ventura County
06 Sept
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 2 Ventura County
29 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 3 Ventura County
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
24 Aug
Ventura County
2 : 3 Portland Timbers 2
01 Aug
Ventura County
6 : 1 North Texas
26 Jul
Ventura County
3 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes II
19 Jul
Ventura County
2 : 0 Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 3
San Jose Earthquakes II
(Away) 20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0 Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3 Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2 Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
24 Aug
Austin FC II
1 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes II
19 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
1 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
09 Aug
Minnesota United 2
1 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
26 Jul
Ventura County
3 : 0 San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 3 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 5 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
