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Venus vs Belenense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B2 2024
Wed, Jun 12, 2024
0 - 3
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venus host Belenense in the Paraense B2 2024. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Venus have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Belenense's 2 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, Venus have won 1 to Belenense's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.31, favoring Belenense. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Venus
20%
Draws
47%
Belenense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belenense come out ahead of Venus on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Paraense B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belenense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Venus Clean Sheet 18%
Belenense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venus Belenense
Matches Played 13 15
Wins 5 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.31 2
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2025 Paraense A3
Belenense vs Venus
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Paraense A3
Venus vs Belenense
1:0
Jun 12, 2024 Paraense A3
Venus vs Belenense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venus 32 / 100
Belenense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venus Belenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Venus scored in 62% of their last 13 outings.

Belenense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 15 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Venus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venus VS Belenense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Venus

(Home)
19 Sept
Pedreira
1 : 2
Venus
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
04 Nov
Belenense
3 : 1
Venus
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Belenense

(Away)
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
05 Sept
Sport Belem
5 : 1
Belenense
14 Nov
Belenense
2 : 1
Santos PA
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Fonte Nova 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Belenense 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Venus 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Paraense B2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
2 Tesla 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Tiradentes PA 3 1 1 1 6:9 4
4 Gaviao 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B2 2024 (Play Offs)