Sport Picks

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Vera Cruz vs Sete de Setembro (PE)

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vera Cruz play Sete de Setembro (PE) in the Pernambucano 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vera Cruz averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Sete de Setembro (PE) averaged 0.65 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Vera Cruz won 2, Sete de Setembro (PE) won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 15, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.57 for Vera Cruz and 1.23 for Sete de Setembro (PE). This points to a Vera Cruz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vera Cruz
34%
Draws
20%
Sete de Setembro (PE)
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Vera Cruz picked up more points recently compared to Sete de Setembro (PE).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.57 vs 1.23 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
Sete de Setembro (PE) Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera Cruz Sete de Setembro (PE)
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.54 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Sete de Setembro (PE)
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Pernambucano
Vera Cruz vs Sete de Setembro (PE)
2:2
Feb 22, 2022 Pernambucano
Sete de Setembro (PE) vs Vera Cruz
1:3
May 2, 2021 Pernambucano
Sete de Setembro (PE) vs Vera Cruz
1:1
Apr 4, 2010 Pernambucano
Sete de Setembro (PE) vs Vera Cruz
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera Cruz 45 / 100
Sete de Setembro (PE) 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera Cruz Sete de Setembro (PE)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vera Cruz or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vera Cruz attacking → ← attacking Sete de Setembro (PE)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

Sete de Setembro (PE) let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Vera Cruz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sete de Setembro (PE) lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 19
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.71
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.14

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180